Endnotes

1 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Build or Maintain? New Zealand’s Infrastructure Asset Value, Investment, and Depreciation, 1990–2022 (2024), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/build-or-maintain.

2 Sapere, The Cost of Consenting Infrastructure Projects in New Zealand. A Report for The New Zealand Infrastructure Commission (2021), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/the-cost-of-consenting-infrastructure-projects-in-new-zealand

3 New Zealand Treasury, He Tirohanga Mokopuna 2025 - Statement on the Long Term Fiscal Position  (2025), https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/ltfp/he-tirohanga-mokopuna-2025

4 Te Waihanga, Build or Maintain? 

5 ‘Asset Life Cycle Management’, OECD Infrastructure Toolkit 2023, https://infrastructure-toolkit.oecd.org/governance/make-sure-the-asset-performs-throughout-its-life/

6 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Who’s Working in Infrastructure? A Baseline Report (2023), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/who-s-working-in-infrastructure

7 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Build or Maintain?

8 This includes network and social infrastructure and some other public capital investment. It excludes private housing investment, but includes infrastructure to support housing development and central and local government investment in social housing.

9 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Nation Building: A Century and a Half of Infrastructure Investment in New Zealand (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/a-century-and-a-half-of-infrastructure-investment-in-new-zealand

10 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Investment Gap or Efficiency Gap? Benchmarking New Zealand’s Investment in Infrastructure (2021), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/investment-gap-or-efficiency-gap-benchmarking-new-zealand-s-investment-in-infrastructure

11 City of Sydney, ‘The City at a Glance’ 2023 https://www.cityofsydney.nsw.gov.au/guides/city-at-a-glance

12 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, The Lay of the Land: Benchmarking New Zealand’s Infrastructure Delivery Costs (2022), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/the-lay-of-the-land-benchmarking-new-zealand-infrastructure-delivery-costs

13 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Build or Maintain?

14 New Zealand Productivity Commission, Productivity by the Numbers 2013 to 2023 (2023), https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/pcrp/productivity-numbers-2013-2023

15 ‘Structural’ means that it is being driven by things other than short-term economic shocks. 

16 New Zealand Treasury, Long Term Fiscal Vision - the Short Version (2025), https://www.treasury.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2025-11/ltfs-short-version-2025-v2.pdf

17 New Zealand Treasury, He Tirohanga Mokopuna 2025 - Statement on the Long Term Fiscal Position.

18 S&P Global, Various Rating Actions Taken on New Zealand Councils on Lower Institutional Framework Assessment (2025), https://www.spglobal.com/ratings/en/regulatory/article/-/view/type/HTML/id/3338977

19 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Getting What We Need: Public Agreement and Community Expectations (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/getting-what-we-need

20 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, How Is Our Infrastructure Tracking? (2024), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/how-is-our-infrastructure-tracking 

21 Peer countries vary between sectors, reflecting different factors that are relevant for different networks. The comparator countries are: Czechia (CZE), Canada (CAN), Finland (FIN), Sweden (SWE), Iceland (ISL), Norway (NOR), Chile (CHL), Greece (GRC), Japan (JPN), Spain (ESP), Colombia (COL), Costa Rica (CRI), the United Kingdom (UK), Australia (AUS), Denmark (DEN), the United States (USA), and Ireland (IRL).

22 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: Results and Modelling Technical Report (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/infrastructure-needs-analysis

23 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, From Plans to Projects: An Assessment of How Central Government Plans, Funds, and Manages Infrastructure (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/from-plans-to-projects

24 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Build or Maintain?

25 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Invest or Insure: Preparing Infrastructure for Natural Hazards (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/invest-or-insure

26 Sapere, Natural Hazards-Related Public Spending in New Zealand: Tracking Costs over Time by the Nature of Spending (2025), https://srgexpert.com/wp-content/uploads/2025/05/Natural-hazards-related-public-spending-in-New-Zealand-16.05.25.pdf

27 Stats NZ, National Population Projections: 2024(Base)–2078, https://www.stats.govt.nz/information-releases/national-population-projections-2024base2078/

28 These figures reflect the range from the 2.5th percentile to the 97.5th percentile of the projection range.

29 Stats NZ, National Population Projections: 2024(Base)–2078.

30 New Zealand Treasury, Long-Term Fiscal Model (2025), https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/treasurys-stewardship-reports/long-term-fiscal-position/long-term-fiscal-model

31 New Zealand Climate Change Commission | He Pou a Rangi, Advice on the Fourth Emissions Budget (2024), https://www.climatecommission.govt.nz/our-work/advice-to-government-topic/preparing-advice-on-emissions-budgets/advice-on-the-fourth-emissions-budget 

32 Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment, Ultra-Fast Broadband Roll-out Now Complete (2022), https://www.mbie.govt.nz/about/news/ultra-fast-broadband-roll-out-now-complete 

33 Stats NZ. Capital Goods Price Index growth versus Consumer Price Inflation growth, 2000Q1 to 2025Q1.

34Electricity Networks Aotearoa, ‘Traffic Cones Are Increasing the Price of Power’, (2025), https://www.ena.org.nz/our-work/news/traffic-cones-are-increasing-the-price-of-power 

35 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Build or Maintain? 

36 Around 5% of GDP in a scenario with lower bound impacts from population and economic growth to around 7% of GDP in a scenario with upper bound impacts from population and economic growth. 

37 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Foundations for Growth: How Infrastructure Can Increase Productivity (2026). 

38 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Foundations for Growth: How Infrastructure Can Increase Productivity.

39 New Zealand Treasury, He Tirohanga Mokopuna 2025 - Statement on the Long Term Fiscal Position.

40Nicholson Consulting, Analysing the Impact of Long-Term Drivers on Māori Phase 2 Report for the New Zealand Infrastructure Commission (2025), https://media.umbraco.io/te-waihanga-30-year-strategy/l1ofb4ts/analysis-of-the-long-term-drivers-on-maori-nicholson-consulting-report.pdf 

41Health New Zealand | Te Whatu Ora, Health Infrastructure Plan (2025), https://www.tewhatuora.govt.nz/publications/health-infrastructure-plan 

42 New Zealand Herald, ‘Councils Expected to Foot a near $48 Billion Bill for Local Water Done Well’, 1 December 2025, https://www.nzherald.co.nz/nz/politics/councils-expected-to-foot-a-near-48-billion-bill-for-local-water-done-well/J42ZEBPXTJBTPKVJS3TVUDITZE/ 

43 Palmerston North City Council, ‘What Is Nature Calls?’ (2025), https://www.pncc.govt.nz/Council/What-were-doing/Nature-Calls/What-is-Nature-Calls 

44 This is addressed in previous modelling commissioned by Electricity Networks Aotearoa. 

45 Toby Stevenson and Michael Young, Total Household Energy Costs NZ (2022), https://www.ena.org.nz/assets/DMSDocuments/2022-Nov-Total-Household-Energy-Costs.pdf 

46 In effect, Government is providing ‘insurance’ or ‘income smoothing’ services in areas where markets are incomplete.

47 PwC, Approaches to Infrastructure Pricing Study: Part 2 - Current Pricing Analysis (2024), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/network-infrastructure-pricing-study

48 PwC, Approaches to Infrastructure Pricing Study: Part 2 - Current Pricing Analysis

49 Water New Zealand, ‘Water Metering – It Makes Good Cents : Water New Zealand’, Water, no. 238 (April 2025), https://www.waternz.org.nz/Story?Action=View&Story_id=2573

50 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, How Is Our Infrastructure Tracking?

51 Ernst and Young, Auckland’s Cost of Congestion (Auckland Transport, (2025), https://at.govt.nz/media/pqxhk3cn/auckland-transport-cost-of-congestion-white-paper.pdf

52 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Buying Time: Toll Roads, Congestion Charges, and Transport Investment (2024), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/buying-time-toll-roads-congestion-charges-and-transport-investment

53 New Zealand Treasury, Funding and Financing Framework (2024), https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/guide/funding-and-financing-framework

54 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, How Is Our Infrastructure Tracking?

55 Michael Pickford, ‘State Highway Investment in New Zealand: The Decline and Fall of Economic Efficiency’, Policy Quarterly 9, no. 3 (2013), https://doi.org/10.26686/pq.v9i3.4454

56 Hon Chris Bishop, ‘Speech to the Future Roads 2025 NZ Roading Industry Conference', 19 November 2025, https://www.beehive.govt.nz/speech/speech-future-roads-2025-nz-roading-industry-conference

57 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Getting What We Need.

58 New Zealand Ministry of Transport, The Future of Rail: New Planning and Funding Framework for Heavy Rail in New Zealand (2019), See recommendation 3 (pg. 21), https://www.transport.govt.nz/assets/Uploads/Cabinet/The-Future-of-Rail-Redacted-12-2019.pdf

59 KiwiRail, Rail Network Investment Programme 2024-27 (2025), See Schedule 1, Table 2, 57, https://www.kiwirail.co.nz/assets/Uploads/Our-network/Funding-Our-Network/RNIP-document_2025_Web.pdf

60 PwC, Approaches to Infrastructure Pricing Study: Part 2 - Current Pricing Analysis.

61 Principle 12 states that 'public subsidies are warranted where broad net benefits to the public would arise from greater use of the network or investment in it'.

62 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Understanding capacity upgrade pressures across infrastructure networks (2026). This comparison draws upon project cost ranges published by the New Zealand Transport Agency and unit cost benchmarking information previously published by the New Zealand Infrastructure Commission.

63 New Zealand Transport Agency | Waka Kotahi, Standardised designs: NZTA Standardised design solutions for use on State Highway Roads of National Significance (2025),

64 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Understanding capacity upgrade pressures across infrastructure networks (2026). This comparison draws upon project cost ranges published by the New Zealand Transport Agency and unit cost benchmarking information previously published by the New Zealand Infrastructure Commission.

65 Austroads engineering guidance states that a two-lane highway can carry 3,200 passenger-car equivalents per hour, in both directions. We adjusted this to vehicles per hour using the Ministry of Transport's passenger-car equivalency factor of 3 for heavy vehicles towing trailers, and NZTA guidance on the heavy vehicle share of traffic (under 5% in urban environments; over 10% in rural environments).

66 Austroads, Guide to Traffic Management Part 3: Transport Studies and Analysis Methods, in ISBN: 978-1-925854-77-0 (2020), Australia and New Zealand, https://austroads.gov.au/publications/traffic-management/agtm03

67 Hourly bus capacity assumptions are sourced from Auckland Transport's capacity planning assumptions.
Auckland Transport, Te Ara Whakawhiti Tere o Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland Rapid Transit Pathway (2025), https://at.govt.nz/media/udzjm2fk/artp-report.pdf

68 Auckland Transport, Te Ara Whakawhiti Tere o Tāmaki Makaurau Auckland Rapid Transit Pathway (2025), https://at.govt.nz/media/udzjm2fk/artp-report.pdf

69 New Zealand Transport Agency | Waka Kotahi, Auckland Harbour Bridge Factsheet (2022), https://www.nzta.govt.nz/assets/projects/auckland-harbour-bridge/auckland-harbour-bridge-factsheet.pdf

70 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Understanding capacity upgrade pressures across infrastructure networks (2026). Transport modelling suggests a total of around 224,000 vehicles would use both the new and existing crossings in 2051. Charging a $9 toll would divert a substantial share of these users to other transport modes or other routes, leading to net present value revenues on the order of $7-9 billion.

71 Land Transport Management Act (2003) Section 68(2)b(iii) requires the GPS to address likely revenue, duties and charges but does not specify how revenue levels should be set. Similarly, neither the Road User Charges Act (2012) or Land Transport Management (Apportionment and Refund of Excise Duty and Excise-Equivalent Duty) Regulations (2004) provide a methodology for calculating land transport user charges.

72 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Nation Building. Figure 37.

73 FED/RUC were last increased in July 2020 (https://www.transport.govt.nz/area-of-interest/revenue/rates-of-petrol-excise-duty-and-road-user-charges). Between Q2 2020 and Q3 2025 average annual inflation (CPI) was 4.3% for a cumulative total of 20.6%. Reserve Bank of New Zealand, 'Inflation Calculator', 2025, https://www.rbnz.govt.nz/monetary-policy/about-monetary-policy/inflation-calculator

72 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, How Much Do We Pay for Infrastructure? Household Expenditure on Infrastructure Services (2023), Figure 1, https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/household-expenditure-on-infrastructure-services

75 Douglas Sutherland et al., 'Public Policies and Investment in Network Infrastructure', OECD Journal Economic Studies 2011, no. 1 (2011): 23, https://doi.org/10.1787/eco_studies-v2011-1-en

76 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, From Plans to Projects: An Assessment of How Central Government Plans, Funds, and Manages Infrastructure.

77 New Zealand Treasury, Budget Policy Statement 2026 (2025), https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/budget-policy-statement/budget-policy-statement-2026

78 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Mental Health Infrastructure Programme Review - Technical Review for Te Whatu Ora (2022), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/reviews/mental-health-infrastructure-programme-review

79 Stats NZ projections, as of September 2025. The Commission defines population stagnation and decline as total growth in a territorial authority from 2023 to 2053 of between -5% and 5%.

80 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission analysis of Ministry of Education data, as of November 2025.

81 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet, CO (23) 9: Investment Management and Asset Performance in Departments and Other Entities (2023), https://www.dpmc.govt.nz/publications/co-23-9-investment-management-and-asset-performance-departments-and-other-entities

82 This is the latest update to the Cabinet Office circular, following earlier versions in 2019, 2015, and 2011.

83 OECD Infrastructure Toolkit, 'Asset Life Cycle Management'.

84 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission et al., Taking Care of Tomorrow Today: Asset Management State of Play (2024), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/taking-care-of-tomorrow-today

85 The eight capital-intensive agencies referenced here are: New Zealand Transport Agency, Ministry of Education, Health New Zealand, Department of Corrections, Ministry of Justice, Kāinga Ora, New Zealand Defence Force, and a combined submission from the New Zealand Defence Force and the Ministry of Defence.

86 Some Crown entities get funding that is not linked to depreciation, like the New Zealand Transport Agency, which is mostly funded through land transport charges that are set by the Government.

87 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet, CO (23) 9.

88 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Build or Maintain?

89 New Zealand Defence Force, The New Zealand Defence Force Estate and Future Investment via Public Private Partnerships (2024), https://www.nzdf.mil.nz/assets/Uploads/DocumentLibrary/CBC-24-MIN-0068_NZDF-Estate-and-Future-Investment-via-Public-Private-Partnerships.pdf

90 Office of the Auditor-General New Zealand, Observations from Our Audits of Councils' 2024-34 Long-Term Plans (2025), https://oag.parliament.nz/2025/long-term-plans/pciart2.htm

91 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Nation Building; updated to 2025 New Zealand dollars.

92 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Invest or Insure.

93 New Zealand Government, Government Inquiry into the Response to the North Island Severe Weather Events (2024), https://www.dia.govt.nz/Government-Inquiry-into-the-Response-to-the-North-Island-Severe-Weather-Events

94 Department of the Prime Minister and Cabinet, New Zealand's National Risk Register (2025), https://www.dpmc.govt.nz/our-programmes/risk-and-resilience/national-risk-and-resilience-framework/new-zealands-national-risks

95 National Cyber Security Centre, 'By the Numbers', 2024, https://www.ncsc.govt.nz/insights-and-research/cyber-threat-reports/20232024-cyber-threat-report/by-the-numbers/

96 The New Zealand Treasury, Half Year Economic and Fiscal Update 2025 (2025), https://www.treasury.govt.nz/publications/efu/half-year-economic-and-fiscal-update-

97 Office of the Auditor-General, Insuring Public Assets (2013). https://oag.parliament.nz/2013/insuring-public-assets

98 National Emergency Management Agency, 'Response, Other Response and Recovery Claims Following an Emergency Event', accessed 16 December 2025, https://www.civildefence.govt.nz/guidance-training/guidelines/factsheets/response-other-response-and-recovery-claims-following-an-emergency-event

99 Earth Sciences New Zealand, 'Nationwide Study Reveals Escalating Flood Risk', accessed 16 December 2025, https://www.earthsciences.nz/news/nationwide-study-reveals-escalating-flood-risk

100 Stats NZ, 'Infoshare Economic Indicators; CPI Datasets', n.d., accessed 16 December 2025, https://infoshare.stats.govt.nz/infoshare/Default.aspx

101 Resilient River Communities: Quarterly Update December 2023 (2023), https://www.resilientrivers.nz/files/1705451844741.pdf

102 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Te Waihanga 2024-2025 Annual Report (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/news-events/2024-to-2025-annual-report-published

103 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, From Plans to Projects: An Assessment of How Central Government Plans, Funds, and Manages Infrastructure.

104 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Transparency within Large Publicly Funded New Zealand Infrastructure Projects (2023), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/transparency-within-large-publicly-funded-new-zealand-infrastructure-projects

105New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, From Plans to Projects: An Assessment of How Central Government Plans, Funds, and Manages Infrastructure.

106 ISO 55001:2024: Asset Management Requirements (2024), https://www.iso.org/standard/83054.html

107 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Asset Management and Investment Planning | Guidance (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/project-support/guidance/asset-management-and-investment-planning

108 ISO 55001.

109 Grattan Institute, The Rise of Megaprojects: Counting the Costs (2020), https://grattan.edu.au/report/the-rise-of-megaprojects-counting-the-costs/

110 Sense Partners, Infrastructure Costs and Urban Form: A Proof-of-Concept Model (2024), https://www.gw.govt.nz/your-region/news/report-highlights-savings-of-denser-living/

111 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Buying Time: Toll Roads, Congestion Charges, and Transport Investment.

112 Sapere, The Cost of Consenting Infrastructure Projects in New Zealand. A Report for The New Zealand Infrastructure Commission.

113 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Protecting Land for Infrastructure: How to Make Good Decisions When We Aren't Certain about the Future (2023), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/protecting-land-for-infrastructure-how-to-make-good-decisions; New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Paying It Back: An Examination of the Fiscal Returns of Public Infrastructure Investment (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/paying-it-back-an-examination-of-the-fiscal-returns-of-public-infrastructure-investment; Sense Partners, Infrastructure Costs and Urban Form: A Proof-of-Concept Model.

114 Electricity Networks Aotearoa, 'Traffic Cones Are Increasing the Price of Power'.

115 Road controlling authorities are required to coordinate works under the National Code of Practice for Utility Operators.

116 Charles Jr Marohn, Strong Towns: A Bottom-up Revolution to Rebuild American Prosperity, John Wiley & Sons (2019), https://www.wiley.com/en-us/Strong+Towns%3A+A+Bottom-Up+Revolution+to+Rebuild+American+Prosperity-p-9781119564812

117 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Paying It Back.

118 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Paying It Back.

119 Infrastructure Victoria, Choosing Victoria's Future: Five Urban Development Scenarios (2023), https://www.infrastructurevictoria.com.au/resources/choosing-victorias-future

120 Boston Consulting Group, Energy to Grow: Securing New Zealand's Future (2025), https://www.bcg.com/publications/2025/energy-to-grow-securing-new-zealands-future

121 Electricity Authority, 'New Generation Projects Flowing through the Investment Pipeline', 2025 https://www.ea.govt.nz/news/eye-on-electricity/new-generation-projects-flowing-through-the-investment-pipeline

122 New Zealand Climate Change Commission | He Pou a Rangi, Advice on the Fourth Emissions Budget (2036–2040).

123 Frontier Economics, Review of Electricity Market Performance (2025), https://www.mbie.govt.nz/building-and-energy/energy-and-natural-resources/energy-consultations-and-reviews/review-of-electricity-market-performance; NERA, NERA Peer Review of Frontier Economics Final Report on New Zealand Market Performance (2025), https://www.mbie.govt.nz/building-and-energy/energy-and-natural-resources/energy-consultations-and-reviews/review-of-electricity-market-performance

124 Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment, At a Glance: New Zealand's Energy Package (2025), https://www.beehive.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2025-10/At%20a%20Glance%20-%20New%20Zealand%27s%20Energy%20Package.pdf

125 Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment, 'Electricity Demand and Generation Scenarios', accessed 15 December 2025, https://www.mbie.govt.nz/building-and-energy/energy-and-natural-resources/energy-statistics-and-modelling/energy-modelling/electricitydemand-and-generation-scenarios

126 Boston Consulting Group, Climate Change in New Zealand: The Future Is Electric (2022), https://www.bcg.com/publications/2022/climate-change-in-new-zealand

127 New Zealand Climate Change Commission | He Pou a Rangi, Advice on the Fourth Emissions Budget (2036–2040).

128 Transpower, 'What's the Latest with Grid Connections?', accessed 15 December 2025, https://www.transpower.co.nz/connections/whats-latest-grid-connections

129 Ministry of Business, Innovation & Employment,
'Electricity Statistics', accessed 15 December 2025, https://www.mbie.govt.nz/building-and-energy/energy-and-natural-resources/energy-statistics-and-modelling/energy-statistics/electricity-statistics; Ministry of Business,Innovation & Employment, 'Gas Statistics', 2025, https://www.mbie.govt.nz/building-and-energy/
energy-and-natural-resources/energy-statistics-and-modelling/energy-statistics/gas-statistics

130 Frontier Economics Final Report on New Zealand Market Performance (2025),https://www.mbie.govt.nz/building-and-energy/energy-and-natural-resources/energy-consultations-and-reviews/review-of-electricity-market-performance

131 New Zealand Green Business Council, Protecting industry, jobs and household budgets as the gas runs out (2025), https://nzgbc.org.nz/news-and-media/new-report-heat-pumps-could-cut-household-energy-bills-by-1.5bn-per-year-help-protect-thousands-of-kiwi-jobs

132 Vector, Managing the Gas Transition (2023), https://blob-static.vector.co.nz/blob/vector/media/vector-2024/vector-2023-managing-the-gas-transition.pdf

133 A transition plan could cover scenarios that include supply decline, security of supply, network utilisation, potential repurposing, and recognising some industrial users are reliant on gas, others may be incentivised to switch fuel source.

134 Commerce Commission, 'Commission Authorises Gentailers' Application for Strategic Energy Reserve Huntly Firming Option', accessed 15 December 2025, https://www.comcom.govt.nz/news-and-media/news-and-events/2025/commission-authorises-gentailers-application-for-strategic-energy-reserve-huntly-firming-option/; Electricity Authority, 'New Standardised Super-Peak Hedge Product Has Improved Risk Management', Electricity Authority, 2025, https://www.ea.govt.nz/news/eye-on-electricity/new-standardised-super-peak-hedge-product-has-improved-risk-management/

135 To include energy sector (electricity and gas) oversight, monitoring, planning, regulation and evaluation of the energy regulators: Gas Industry Company, MBIE's Petroleum, and Minerals Group, the Electricity Authority, and the Commerce Commission (energy regulators).

136 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Who's Working in Infrastructure? A Baseline Report.

137 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Who's Working in Infrastructure? A Baseline Report.

138 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Who's Working in Infrastructure? A Baseline Report.

139 BERL, Te Ōhanga The Māori Economy 2023. A Report for Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment. (2023), https://www.mbie.govt.nz/assets/te-ohanga-maori-2023-report.pdf

140 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Who's Working in Infrastructure? A Baseline Report.

141 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Insights for Major Project Delivery (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/insights-for-major-project-delivery

142 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Insights for Major Project Delivery.

143 The New Zealand Treasury, 'Gateway Review Themes and Insights 2016-2022', 1 July 2023, https://www.treasury.govt.nz/information-and-services/public-sector-leadership/investment-management/investment-management-system-reporting/gateway-review-findings

144 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Project Leadership Capability Framework (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/leadership-learning/resources-and-tools/leadership-capability-framework-for-project-directors

145 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, From Plans to Projects: An Assessment of How Central Government Plans, Funds, and Manages Infrastructure.

146 New Zealand Government Procurement, New Zealand Government Procurement Business Survey 2024 (2024), https://www.procurement.govt.nz/assets/procurement-property/documents/2024-business-survey-report-government-procurement.pdf

147 OECD, Ensure Efficient Procurement of Infrastructure Projects (2025), https://infrastructure-toolkit.oecd.org/governance/procurement/

148 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Towards Better Contracts (2024), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/towards-better-contracts

149 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, Delivering Better Value and Better Outcomes (2025), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/delivering-better-value-and-better-outcomes

150 NZIER, Cost Impact of Central Government Reforms. A Report for Local Government New Zealand.

151 Department of Internal Affairs, 'Local Government Performance Metrics', 2024, https://www.dia.govt.nz/local-government-performance-metrics

Endnotes for sector summaries 

152 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

153 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, How much do we pay for infrastructure? Household expenditure on infrastructure services (2023), https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/household-expenditure-on-infrastructure-services

154 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, How much do we pay for infrastructure?, https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/research-insights/household-expenditure-on-infrastructure-services

155 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2026). Benchmarking our infrastructure: Technical report.

156 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Transport sector performance. https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/performance-monitoring/transport-sector-performance

157 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: Results and modelling technical report.

158 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2024). Valuing water: Sustainable water services and the role of volumetric charging. p.4.

159 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

160 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

161 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Benchmarking our infrastructure: Technical report.

162 Water Services Authority (2025). Network Environmental Performance Report 2023/24. Figure 7: Median residential water use by population density.

163 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). 'Water sector performance', accessed 5 December 2025 https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/performance-monitoring/water-sector-performance

164 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast

165 Electricity Industry Act 2010, Section 8, https://www.legislation.govt.nz/act/public/2010/0116/latest/whole.html; Electricity Industry Participation code 2010, Part 7, https://www.ea.govt.nz/documents/9/Electricity_Industry_Participation_Code_-_01_January_2026.pdf

166 Transpower, 'Our System Operator Role', accessed 5 December 2025, https://www.transpower.co.nz/system-operator/our-system-operator-role/operating-wholesale-electricity-market

167 NZX, 'Managed Service - Energy', accessed 5 December 2025, https://www.nzx.com/services/energy-markets/About

168 Commerce Commission, 'Understanding how changes to lines charges may impact your electricity bill', accessed 28 November 2025,https://www.comcom.govt.nz/regulated-industries/electricity-lines/understanding-how-changes-to-lines-charges-may-impact-your-electricity-bill/

169 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

170 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

171 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

172 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2024). What New Zealanders think is a fair way to pay for infrastructure: Survey insights.

173 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Benchmarking our infrastructure: Technical report.

174 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, 'Energy sector performance', accessed 28 November 2025, https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/performance-monitoring/energy-sector-performance

175 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: results and modelling technical report.

176New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: results and modelling technical report.

177 Gas Industry Co, Quarterly Report – June 2025 (2025), https://www.gasindustry.co.nz/assets/CoverDocument/June-2025-Quarterly-Report.pdf.

178Gas Infrastructure Future Working Group, New Zealand Gas Infrastructure Future Findings Report (2021), https://gasnz.org.nz/resources

179 Energy Efficiency & Conservation Authority, EECA Consumer Energy Monitor: FY2025 review (2025), https://www.eeca.govt.nz/insights/eeca-insights/how-newzealanders-are-using-energy-july-2025/

180 Note in October 2022, the Commerce Commission shortened the asset lives used to calculate depreciation, leading to higher rates of depreciation from this point forward. This will impact the renewal expense to depreciation ratio, but the intuition remains that renewals are below the rate needed to replace the asset on a like for like basis.

181 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission, 'Energy sector performance', accessed 5 December 2025, https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/performance-monitoring/energy-sector-performance

182 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: results and modelling technical report.

183 Gas production assets are classified by Stats NZ as a mining and extraction or in some cases, a manufacturing industry, rather than infrastructure.

184 Ministry of Business, Innovation and Employment, 'Gas supply reducing faster and sooner than previously forecast', accessed 28 November 2025, https://www.mbie.govt.nz/about/news/gas-supply-reducing-fasterand-sooner-than-previously-forecast

185 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

186 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Benchmarking our infrastructure: Technical report.

187 Radio Spectrum Management, 'Preparing for 5G in New Zealand', accessed 28 November 2025,: https://www.rsm.govt.nz/projects-and-auctions/completed-projects/preparing-for-5g-in-new-zealand#:~:text=of%20auction%2020-,December%202019%20announcement,release%20on%20the%20Beehive%20website.

188 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). 'Telecommunications sector performance'. https://tewaihanga.govt.nz/our-work/performance-monitoring/telecommunications-sector-performance

189 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: Technical report.

190 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2021a). Aotearoa 2050: Response summary. https://media.umbraco.io/te-waihanga-30-year-strategy/j2ebahpb/tewaihanga_aotearoa2050_report.pdf

191 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

192 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

193 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Benchmarking our infrastructure: Technical report.

194 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: Results and modelling technical report.

195 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

196 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

197 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission (2021). Aotearoa 2050: Response summary. https://media.umbraco.io/te-waihanga-30-yearstrategy/j2ebahpb/tewaihanga_aotearoa2050_report.pdf

198 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). Benchmarking our infrastructure: Technical report.

199 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: Results and modelling technical report.

200 OECD, Government at a glance 2023 country notes – New Zealand (2023), https://www.oecd.org/content/dam/oecd/en/publications/reports/2023/06/government-at-a-glance-2023-country-notes_a95d10b5/newzealand_33a1fc5b/c9e6e96e-en.pdf

201 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025). The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast

202 ISSP Research Group. 'International social survey programme: Role of government V-ISSP 2016'. GESIS data archive, Cologne. ZA6900 Data file Version 2, no. 0 (2018), https://www.gesis.org/en/issp/data-anddocumentation/role-of-government/2016

203 Noting that Fire and Emergency New Zealand (FENZ) was created in 2017 through the amalgamation of the New Zealand Fire Service and other entities.

204 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2026). Probabilities, Not Predictions: Practical tools for modelling uncertainty and supporting better decisions. (2026)

205 Research New Zealand. (2022). Long-term insights briefing: The future of imprisonment in New Zealand II. Final report. https://www.crownlaw.govt.nz/assets/Uploads/Publications/Long-Term-Insights-Briefing-The-Future-of-Imprisonment-II_FINAL_-12-12-22.pdf

206 Norris, A. N., & Lipsey, K. (2018). Public Attitudes Toward New Prisons in New Zealand and Deficit Narratives: A Quantitative Survey. International Criminal Justice Review, 29(4), 348-360. https://doi.org/10.1177/1057567718803147

207 Department of Corrections, Annual Report 2024-2025 (2025), https://www.corrections.govt.nz/__data/assets/pdf_file/0003/64920/Annual_Report_2024-2025.pdf

208 Department of Corrections, Annual Report 2024-2025

209 Department of Corrections, Annual Report 2024-2025

210 ISSP Research Group, Role of Government V, ISSP 2016.

211 Radio NZ (2025). 'New RNZ-Reid Research poll: Half of Kiwis want defence spending to increase' https://www.rnz.co.nz/news/poll/556896/new-rnz-reid-research-poll-half-of-kiwis-want-defence-spending-to-increase

212 Ministry of Transport, 'Freight Information Gathering System', accessed 28 November 2025, www.transport.govt.nz/statistics-and-insights/freight-and-logistics/sheet/figs-port-container-handling

213 World Bank, The Container Port Performance Index 2020 to 2024: Trends and Lessons Learned. (2025) http://hdl.handle.net/10986/43744.

214 Port of Tauranga, Ports of Auckland, Lyttelton, Port Otago, Napier Port, CentrePort, and South Port.

215 Ipsos & GIIA. (2024). Global Infrastructure Index - New Zealand Edition. https://www.ipsos.com/en-nz/2024-global-infrastructure-index-nz-edition

216 Beonic, 'Beonic Strengthens Leadership in New Zealand's Aviation Sector with CAA Partnership' (2025), https://www.beonic.com/beonic-strengthens-leadership-in-new-zealands-aviation-sector-with-caa-partnership.

217 Ipsos & GIIA, Global Infrastructure Index - New Zealand Edition. (2024) https://www.ipsos.com/en-nz/2024-global-infrastructure-index-nz-edition

218 Ipsos & GIIA. Global Infrastructure Index - New Zealand Edition. https://www.ipsos.com/en-nz/2024-global-infrastructure-index-nz-edition

219 WasteMINZ, 'Soil: The hidden giant in construction waste', accessed 28 November 2025, https://www.wasteminz.org.nz/news/soil-the-hidden-giant-in-construction-waste.

220 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission (2025). Getting what we need: public agreement and community expectations around infrastructure.

221 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2021). Aotearoa 2050: Response summary. AK Research & Consulting. (2023). Behavioural trend monitoring survey of waste minimisation practices: A quantitative report for the Ministry for the Environment. https://environment.govt.nz/assets/publications/Waste/Behavioural-Trend-Monitoring-Survey-2023.pdf

222 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2021). Aotearoa 2050: Response summary. AK Research & Consulting. (2023). Behavioural trend monitoring survey of waste minimisation practices: A quantitative report for the Ministry for the Environment. https://environment.govt.nz/assets/publications/Waste/Behavioural-Trend-Monitoring-Survey-2023.pdf

223 Eunomia, New Zealand's National Recycling Rate: Options and Estimates, Report to the Ministry for the Environment (2025), https://environment.govt.nz/assets/publications/New-Zealand-National-Recycling-Rate-Issues-and-Options-FINAL-30-01-25.pdf

224 Total depreciation on council-owned solid waste and refuse activities was $29.5 million in 2023. Data from Stats NZ on depreciation rates for 'Water and Waste' services was 3.05%. This implies an asset value of approximately $1 billion.

225 Te Ara Encyclopedia of New Zealand, 'Government and agriculture', accessed 28 November 2025, https://teara.govt.nz/en/government-and-agriculture/print.

226 The policy points in this statement were picked up from feedback to the draft National Infrastructure Plan, but are also outlined in Irrigation NZ's Briefing to Incoming Ministers (BIM) in October 2023: https://www.irrigationnz.co.nz/Attachment?Action=Download&Attachment_id=858.

227 For example, NIWA's IrriSet, irrigation strategy evaluation tool: https://niwa.co.nz/freshwater/farming-and-primary-sector/irriset-irrigation-strategy-evaluation-tool; Watermetrics irrigation management: https://www.watermetrics.co.nz/irrigation-management; and Onfarm Data: https://www.onfarmdata.com/.

228 Ipsos & GIIA.Global Infrastructure Index - New Zealand Edition. (2024) https://www.ipsos.com/en-nz/2024-global-infrastructure-index-nz-edition

229 Ipsos & GIIA.Global Infrastructure Index - New Zealand Edition. (2024) https://www.ipsos.com/en-nz/2024-global-infrastructure-index-nz-edition

230 Horizon Research. (2025). New Zealanders' top priority: Improve the health system. 10 March 2025, https://www.horizonpoll.co.nz/page/713/new-zealand

231 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2021). Aotearoa 2050: Response summary. New Zealand Infrastructure Commission / Te Waihanga. https://media.umbraco.io/te-waihanga-30-yearstrategy/j2ebahpb/tewaihanga_aotearoa2050_report.pdf

232 OECD Questionnaire on Affordable and Social Housing (QuASH), 2016, 2019, 2021, 2023, and various national agencies

233 New Zealand Infrastructure Commission. (2025).The Infrastructure Needs Analysis Forecast: Results and modelling technical report.

234 Kāinga Ora, Kāinga Ora Reset Plan v1.0 (2024), https://kaingaora.govt.nz/assets/About-us/Kainga-Ora-reset-plan.pdf

235 New Zealand Treasury, He Puna Hao Pātiki: Investment Statement 2025 (2025), https://www.treasury.govt.nz/sites/default/files/2025-11/is25-hphp.pdf

236 The Housing Investment Plan allocation of flexible fund' (November 2025) produced by HUD shows housing register rates and
levels of severe housing deprivation vary across territorial authorities and Auckland local boards, https://www.hud.govt.nz/assets/Uploads/Documents/Investment-plan-2025/Housing-investment-plan.pdf

237 For example, Census 2018 data found that households renting from Housing New Zealand (the former name for Kāinga Ora) were more likely to report issues with dampness and mould. https://www.stats.govt.nz/assets/Uploads/Reports/Housing-in-Aotearoa-2020/Download-data/housing-in-aotearoa-2020.pdf

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